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Tuesday, 13 March 2012

The unfortunate truth about Aston Villa

The delusions of granduer at Villa Park needs to be replaced with realism




Thursday February 26th 2009 is a defining moment in the recent history of Aston Villa. This is when Villa travelled to Moscow for the 2nd leg of the Uefa Cup, they lost 2-0. 

It was not the result necessarily which mattered, it was the fact that Martin O’Neill decided to leave the majority of the first at home in order to rest for the Premier league game against Stoke. The consequences of this decision were seen the rest of the season. The following game Villa were winning 2-0 against Stoke in the 90th minute. O’Neill’s decision to rest players for the league appeared vindicated. And then Stoke scored twice. 

Since then Villa went on a run of four losses, against Man City, Spurs, Liverpool and that famous game where Macheda put himself on the map with a 3-2 loss to United. Three draws followed and only two more wins came that season. It was a capitulation of Keegan proportions and effectively set the future for Villa.

Martin O’Neill was brought in by Doug Ellis as a farewell gift to the fans, his appointment certainly galvanised the Villa Park faithful who had become rather subdued under O’Leary. A brand of high tempo counter attack football got not just Villa fans purring and the side looked like potential dark horses for the top four.

O’Neill had one crack at it the following season, another 6th place finish meant Europa League and losses in the League Cup final and FA cup semi final meant no silverware again. It was the end of the project and the end of O’Neill’s reign.

Randy Lerner invested £100 million in transfer fees under O’Neill and paid high wages to many players who perhaps did not warrant such high earnings. He recouped only £20 million in O’Neill’s reign meaning a loss of over £80 million with no silverware or Champions League football to show for it. His project had ultimately failed and perhaps his reluctance to bank roll another season under O’Neill or his realisation that the need to balance the books was a necessity led to the departure of O’Neill.

The unfortunate truth

With that brief piece of history the aim of this article is to show that Villa are not a big club and that those who believe that Villa should be fighting for Champions League football are delusional. We had a chance in that 08/09 season, yet it was destroyed by poor management and a lack of transfer activity and ambition. That team has been gradually broken up  and what is left is nothing like a team which could only ever achieve sixth place anyway.

Villa have a great history of success, one of only four English sides to win the European Cup is a great achievement. They are showered with domestic success in leagues and cups and when considering a team’s history, they are certainly up there.

However, it is important to realise that history is just that and what is key is the present day. In all honesty, being realisitic, Aston Villa are a mid table side who are certainly good enough to stay in the league yet are not good enough to move any higher.

The unfortunate truth is that just four years ago sides like Man City and Spurs were regarded as our equals, now they are much better then Villa. Arsenal, Chelsea and Liverpool although having mixed seasons still have more money and are much more attractive clubs for players than a team in the midlands. Below these sides Villa are one of many. This is the unfortunate truth.

High ambition, delusion of grandeur

Many Villa fans believe that if Spurs are up there then we should be too. In 2009 I would not have argued with that, however Spurs have done a great job of buying good young players with potential and developing them into top level players; Bale, Modric and Lennon are good examples of their policy. What is the key, and the biggest difference between Villa is that these players are still there now.

Villa’s young players like Young, Downing and Milner have all moved on, making profit on each one sure, but with no real replacements to fill the void. N’Zogbia has not impressed and is certainly no replacement for both Young and Downing.

Villa also have many good youngsters; Albrighton, Delfounso, Gardner, Bannan and Clark. Yet are these players of the level required to take Villa to the top four? No. This is not a criticism of them or the club. What this article is trying to stress is that these players are a reflection of the club.


Since Lerner and Co. have been given licence to choose the manager the decisions have not been of the benefit to the team and instead they strike at a certain level of admission that the initial hope of taking Villa to the top four was not as possible as they once believed. 

The point is, Villa fans have complained all year about the appointment of McLeish, they have protested and booed and have made Villa a horrible and lifeless place to be a fan. The players have admitted the atmosphere has affected them and results have shown that the negativity at Villa Park has had a negative effect. Villa rank 14th in the league at home this year and 9th away, this is a sign of worry yet should not be a surprise if you attend games at home.

The fans have been quick to blame the manager for the poor performances this season, yet we have conceded less goals this season and have the same points.  If the plan with McLeish is long term, which it appears to be, then I don’t believe building a strong foundation from defence is a bad decision. Even though a comparison with Man City is rather ludicrous, Mancini made sure his side was defensively solid before he looked to let them play more expansive football. Under Houilier the team was too open and ultimately porous and if it wasn’t for Bent being supplied by Young and Downing then the team would have been close to relegation.

Who wants the job? 

It is hilarious to outsiders yet embarrassing for fans when Villa fans talk of new managers; they make outlandish predictions and hold out hope that a Champions League manager would want to come to Villa. Those who lusted for O’Neill back or for those big name managers in the game like Rijkaard need to understand that this is not the same team as before. 

The truth is that McLeish inherited a group of players which lacked the ability to break the top eight yet alone top four. He came in knowing he would have limited funds and would be required to slash the wage bill. He has been subjected to abuse all year and yet has not faltered in his belief in the job. Managers like Martinez and even perhaps Benitez rejected that this job as it was not appealing, limited money and an ageing, demotivated side did fill these men with appetite.

Fans need to realise that Villa is not regarded as a big club anymore, esteemed with history sure, but it is not a big player in the world today. We are like the British Empire, small in size, yet used to be very successful. And like the country now, we continue to lust over the old times, believing we are still a big player in the affairs of the world.

In McLeish we have a man who looked at the Villa job as an honour, even when understanding and considering the major risks of taking the job. He has persevered and has done his job well enough. Those thought we would be relegated are now proved wrong, we will not be relegated this season. 

Yet instead of thanking him for his work he has been subjected to abuse. This team have come out of turmoil, have lost top players and yet the manager in place has steadied the ship and ridden out the storm.

Are Villa appealing?

Fans have spoken of getting Lambert or Rodgers from Swansea, two managers who have shown their credentials this season and for me must be regarded as the best two young managers in the UK at this time. 

However, in my opinion Lambert is too good to manage Villa; his skills demonstrate the ability to coach Bayern or his old side Dortmund, if Klopp ever goes. He has credentials of top level management and I would not be surprised if Ferguson was keeping tabs on this young Scotsman for his future seat. My point being is that Lambert’s next move will be bigger than Villa. 

As for Rodgers, his style of football is excellent, and it has been a joy to watch this season. However, his failing at Reading indicated that his success is dependent on the players he has. His way of playing is similar to Houillier last season, which was a remedy for disaster. The Swansea team he inherited were made for this style thanks to Martinez, Villa do not have the personnel or the time to develop this style and so I do not believe Rodgers and Villa would be a good mix.

Support the man and the club

You will probably argue that we are where are because of McLeish. Yet, what would other managers have done with this team? Top four? Really. If you believe that then you are doing a disservice to the club. We are only four points off eighth place and so to say that we are underachieving is ludicrous. 


It is the fans who need to ask questions of theirsevles, imagine if those games at home where negativity was abound and every bad touch was groaned at was replaced with positivity. Negativity this season cannot have helped the team. Imagine if support had been like other clubs, proud to be supporting their team, instead of sitting their reluctant to support anything be it deemed as support for McLeish.


Is changing the manager a good thing?

Many have wanted a change of manager all season, yet when you look at the teams who have changed manager have they really benefitted? It is very difficult to come in to a team in a relegation battle, especially during or after January.  Remember Newcastle, who believed that an inexperienced manager in Shearer could lead them to survival, they were wrong. Ian Dowie was brought in at Hull, however, as with his record, he took them down. 

Credit to Sunderland who did their work before Christmas and that decision was the right one.
Yet at QPR Mark Hughes, a man with no real relegation battle experience, a man who many Villa fans wanted last season has realised the pressures and difficulties of keeping up a side like QPR. The Hoops' league record since he took over reads W1 D2 L5 and unless he can mastermind a dramatic revival, they're doomed to the Championship.

Another side who decided their man had to go was Wolves, with the chaos that ensued from there, the lack of a plan for a credible replacement and perhaps the restricted means offered to a new man, they have reaped what they sow and are another side deep in the relegation mire.

And what about those great managers in Coyle and Martinez. The media will have you believe that they play some beautiful football, pass and move stuff like Barcelona. Yet the reality is they cannot defend and they lack the leadership required to stay in the league. Are they doing better than McLeish? No.

They have been squandering at the bottom all year and they have had longer to build “their” team also. You will say that Bolton and Wigan aren’t bigger than Villa so of course they should be there, but these managers have shown they are incapable of improving their sides and relegation is a very possible thing for both. 

It is funny when pundits criticise teams like Stoke when they are stable in the league and yet commend the team at the bottom for their style, David Pleat believes Roberto Martínez's faith in his system hints at brighter future for Wigan. Sure it does, in the Championship.

Personally I also hope that Steve Kean is able to survive this season; the abuse that fans believe they can direct at their manager’s is utter disgrace and if he does keep them up then it is truly a testament to his character and drive. He has brought through many young players this season and should be commended for this, not lambasted. The Blackburn fans don’t deserve him and he should leave as soon as they are announced safe.

Look at all these clubs, we are not in their situation. The board have stuck by their decision, they have not acted rashly and we have come out of it. If we put some results together we could finish in the top half. It is the constant negativity and pessimism which frustrates me at Villa. Why do we believe we are better than we are? We haven't won the league since 1981, yet fans demand success. It is craziness.

A new dawn

Do not blame McLeish for this season, sure he has made mistakes yet doesn’t everyone.  I look at the fans and wonder if they really are supportive of this team, because if they are they need to realise that he will be there next season, that is evident, and so instead of licking your wounds and being spiteful why not come out and support the team. If our home record was anything like our away form then perhaps we could have been higher this year.

Fans will say that he got Blues relegated twice, yet think what you are saying. Are Blues good enough for the Premiership? No. So it was always going to be difficult to keep a team like that in the top flight. We need to realise that we are better than Blues, and so saying we will get relegated with McLeish is like saying we are the same as Blues. This is not true. We have not been relegated once in the Premier League and we shall not be this season.

 Do I want Villa to invest millions into the side to make them a title chasing side? It is hard not to look at City and be jealous, watching that kind of talent each week must be a joy. However, we do not have an Arab investor and most likely won’t have one soon. We have a relatively wealthy yet not silly businessman who has invested money into the side with no real returns. He realises the gulf between the sides at the top and understands that the gap between and money needed to bridge it is not possible or sustainable.  


 The false beliefs and delusions of grandeur have hindered progress and enjoyment of this season. Be realistic, O’Neill, that wonderful manager only ever achieved a sixth place finish, and that was with high investment. Let us respect and be proud of our history yet now be realistic about who and what we now are. Perhaps by doing this we can support the club and allow Villa Park to be an enjoyable place to be again. McLeish now has a summer to build his team, we must join together and support him in his plan. 


The Whitehouse Address is on Twitter @The_W_Address



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