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Friday 28 February 2014

Real Madrid | European Favourites Once Again

Madrid look better than they have in over a decade, is La Decima on it's way?
It seems that for the past several years this blog makes the case for Real Madrid to win the Champions League. Three semi-final appearances under Mourinho showed how close the side was, yet whether it be the curse of La Decima or a sense that Madrid were second to Barca, ‘unfortunate’ to go out on penalties or lacking harmony as a club last season, they just never seemed to have what it took to get over that line. One would imagine that had Mourinho reached the final he would have won it, his record in finals is sublime. Yet if ‘Mr Champions League’ could not do it, why should Madrid be considered favourites now? Well it appears that Madrid are a better side this season than they have been under Mourinho, much to do with their new coach Carlo Ancelotti.


Three Champions League finals with Milan, winning two, is as good a record as any other coach in the 21st century. It is the the same as Ferguson with United (08-11), Barca won three finals yet with two different coaches and Bayern reached three finals yet only won once. 

The elusive three successes of the 21st century is available, with Mourinho, Ancelotti and Guardiola all able and challenging for this honour. Their three clubs; Chelsea, Real and Bayern all have a great chance of winning the tournament this season. Yet it is Madrid who appear the most likely.

The curse of Sacchi

Bayern are unquestionably the best side in world football at this time, Guardiola has added new elements which has made them more dominant than last season. His experience and talent in the competition certainly makes them favourites for many, however there is the concern that no side has won back-to-back Champions League’s since Sacchi’s Milan last doing it in 1989/1990 (when it was the European Cup). 

Since then there have been sides who have had the opportunity yet none has been able to retain their title; Capello’s Milan, Van Gaal’s Ajax, Lippi’s Juve and United in 2009. 

It used to be common to see clubs dominate Europe for two or three years; Madrid, Ajax, Bayern, Liverpool, Forest. When a side was on top they usually stayed there. However with the rise of the transfer market and the increase in television European football has changed markedly. And with that clubs have struggled to truly show their dominance in Europe. 

Bayern look like a side who could make history, yet Barca were a better side and still failed to retain their trophy. Cal it the ‘curse of Sacchi’ or merely the increased strength of football’s elite. It will not be easy for Bayern. 

The other contenders 

Chelsea have Mourinho yet this is not a world class side and even a world class coach will struggle to get them to the final. Barca are the same, the club in a form of existential crisis. PSG appear to have the tools to succeed yet do they have the players and coach capable of going all the way? Dortmund aren't what they were last season. Which is why you must consider Real Madrid as the favourites.

Real Madrid have been striving for their 10th European crown for over a decade now. Their wish to make this happen led to an era of mediocrity for the club because their Galacticos project proved a relative failure. Florentino Perez can be criticised for Madrid’s poor decade yet since 2009 there is no doubt that the team has been built with more balance. Mourinho certainly helped build that yet the side this season has as good a balance and leadership since Del Bosque. 

That says a lot about what Perez has done with the club yet also the issues Mourinho brought. There was no doubt that Mourinho brought defensive strength and balance to the side, building the team to be a ruthless counter attacking side. However his personal issues and agenda with Barcelona and Guardiola (the man who was chosen over him for the Barca job in 2008) clouded his judgement and seriously affected the club. 

It became too much a theatre and too much about Mourinho. His departure was necessary as the club appeared to be in a crisis and imploding. However the new arrival would prove a better character of a club the size of Madrid.

Harmony and balance

Carlo Ancelotti had played and coached for one of Europe’s biggest sides in Milan, as well as coaching The Old Lady Juventus. He had the knowledge of what was expected of a top coach at a top side. Arguably Mourinho preferred to be at a ‘medium’ club, thriving on the underdog mentality. Yet Madrid did not think of itself as an underdog. 

The new coach has come in and brought harmony, balance and a worryingly ruthlessness to the side. At this time they sit top of La Liga and are 6-1 ahead in their first leg tie to Schalke. It’s all looking very good, yet it has taken a while to get it right.

The pursuit of Gareth Bale was distracting and perhaps unnccessary for Madrid, Ancelotti did not think that £100m was necessary to spend on one player. However Perez was desperate to make it happen and he most often gets what he wishes. 

The departure of Mesut Ozil came as a surprise to the players and coach, perhaps it was a case of having to make money back for Bale or was it a case of not needing Ozil? There is an argument to say that although he was excellent for Madrid and provided many assists, he was not helping the side in the biggest games as he failed to offer defensive balance, often leaving the two man midfield exposed. 

It was perhaps why Modric was bought the summer before and why Isco was brought in 2013. Although Isco started for Madrid it was clearly not ‘working’ effectively. Ancelotti was struggling to find the balance to make the team work. He was evidently trying to fit pieces into holes that didn’t fit. 

As he has grown to know the squad he has found a formation which works better for the side and found three ‘unlikely’ key members. You could put Benzema’s performances in this bracket yet it always seemed a case of making the system work for him which Mourinho often struggled to do, putting too much on Ronaldo. 

No, the three key players for this Ancelotti system has been Luka Modric, Angel Di Maria and Jese. Modric has thrived in a three man midfield, controlling games with ease and setting the tempo superbly. He is becoming the world class player he always promised he could be. 

Di Maria was rumoured to be out this past summer as he was deemed surplus with Bale arriving, however he has evolved his role in the side to stay relevant and very surprisingly has become a very talented central midfielder. His work rate and tackling is impressive for a ‘flair’ winger which is why he has fell in to that role well. It has been impressive and has helped the side in their 4-3-3 style. 

As for Jese, an Academy graduate who has been promising much talent needed the opportunity and Ancelotti has offered it to him. A chance which has thrived on. So much so that he has kept Bale out of play at times.

Ancelotti has also made the defence stronger and more secure. The rotation of Casillas and Diego Lopez would negatively affect many sides yet it seems to work for Madrid. Even Pepe looks stronger this season (perhaps free of the drama and games which Mourinho made him take part in).

Not even top gear

In the game against Schalke (in which they awful) Madrid showed why they are the most threatening side in Europe at this time.  When you have three players who are sharing an abundance of goals (Ronaldo, Benzema and Bale have scored over 70 goals together) then you frighten the opposition. It is not a case of being able to double up on one man because all three can punish. 

At times this season Madrid have not been great yet Ronaldo or Bale come up with a wondershot to secure the points. Goals come in a variety of ways and this points to a side who could defeat all others in Europe.


The Schalke game was too easy, and Madrid didn't need to do much to score six. Incredible when you think about it. The side just has the ability to score goals. Yes the German side were near abysmal however Madrid proved their credentials once more. Ronaldo appears obsessed with being the top scorer as well as lifting the trophy, yet it is Ancelotti who is the difference maker. It will be between him and Guardiola who lifts the trophy this season. Both clubs likely on for a treble. 

This weekend Madrid face their rivals Atletico with a win putting them six points clear of Simeone’s men. All looks very well at Madrid this season, the cloud of Mourinho is lifted from them and Ancelotti with Zidane has brought a new approach and mindset to the club. It certainly looks more harmonious, they are much quieter in what they do, yet they appear better and stronger than anytime under Mourinho. After three years of semi-final exits, could this be the season they get past the line and bring La Decima to the Bernabeau? This blog believes so. 

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