In recent years the Premier League has been playing catch-up
to leagues like La Liga and the Bundesliga. Spanish and German football has
surpassed the English league in terms of tactics and quality. Entertainment
value may win in England, but that’s because often it’s like two amateur boxers
slugging it out in the ring, the fans go wild but the quality is sorely
lacking. That’s our culture, I think we love the battle more than quality and
the detail. And our game has suffered because of it. Spain and Germany have
bypassed us because the game is now more intelligent.
A decade ago English
football was a dominant player in the European game. Yet we lost our way,
quality coaches left, quality players left and were replaced with average
players. For some years now our top sides have been poor. And yet we now seem
to be on the rise, emerging out of the slump. Yes perhaps the increased money
has helped, yet not so much with players but coaches. We have arguably the best
array of coaches the league has seen. Ten games in to the season and we appear
to have a great campaign ahead. Both in terms of competition and quality.
They say you should judge how well your season is going
after 10 games. So as we reach this point, it seems pretty evident that the
league is shaping up already with the best sides in the league. The top five
contains all of the so called ‘big clubs’, with just Manchester United outside
of the commonly held ‘top six’, lying in 8th, five points off Spurs
in 5th. Unlike last season with Leicester and even West Ham, and
other occasions in the past, there is no surprise side in this top group.
Effectively the top sides have got themselves
in gear early and made sure they are part of the leading pack from the start. It makes sense, last season was a disappointing showing for the top sides like
Chelsea, Man Utd and Man City. Liverpool were inconsistent and it left Spurs
and Arsenal to battle it out for the league. And yet it was Leicester who would
win it. And as deserved as it was, an incredible achievement for the club, this was
contrasted with the terrible failures of the other clubs. It seemed the top clubs had been exposed, the fear they once imparted into their inferior opponents had been lost. So would this season would be different? The increased money, the arrival of new, top coaches and
the desire of the big clubs to make sure they don’t underachieve again. It is
why we’ve seen this kind of start from the top sides now.
Because of the
increase in quality within the sides and the quality of the coaching and
tactical acumen in the league, the league is very tight and close at
the top. The top five are separated by five points, the top three have the same
points. It’s set to be a fascinating season. But someone will have to
underachieve in their ambitions. One of the top six, even eight if you include the
ambitions of clubs like Everton and Southampton, and even West Ham, all want to
break into that top four. So there will be some big name coaches and sides who
fail this year. So what could be the difference between success and failure?
Based on what we’ve seen up to now, it appears that fluidity is the key to
success.
Leicester won the league last season based on a defensive
strategy and utilisation of a 4-4-2/4-4-1-1 formation. A mid to deep defensive
block seeking to transition quickly exploiting space behind the opposition with
Jamie Vardy’s speed and Riyad Mahrez’s skill and creativity. It was a hard
working team, with defined roles and responsibilities, who never sought to try
and expand on what they did, or seek to be something different than what they
were. We’ve seen this similar approach with Diego Simeone at Atletico Madrid in
recent seasons, which has brought Champions League final appearances and the
league title.
Defensive/transition football has dominated Europe since 2012.
The German sides of Bayern and Dortmund played superb transition football, Real
Madrid developed their counter attack approach under Mourinho, which Ancelotti
took further with a Champions League final win in 2014. Zidane arguably
‘defended’ his way to another Champions League success this past season. After
going 1-0 up Madrid effectively sought to shut up shop and defend their lead.
Ultimately they won on penalties but that sense of caution was evident. It
wasn’t free flowing, expansive football. But it was winning trophies.
Portugalproved this can bring success in a major tournament by winning the Euro’s,
playing a very defensive and team oriented strategy to grind their way to the
final. Many criticised the approach, but it won. It has led to that word
‘possession’ becoming a contentious issue. Barcelona and Spain made possession
seemingly the only route to success, with both club and country dominating
football between 2008-2012. Initially there were the protagonists of the
possession game. Those seeking to emulate Guardiola’s tactics, to ‘play like
Barcelona’. They found out it wasn’t so easy.
In fact it was the antagonists
who would overcome the possession game. Beginning with Mourinho, then Klopp,
Heynckes, Simeone. These men sought to be the anti-thesis of the possession
game, finding a way to counter and nullify rather than try to go head to head.
And they found ways to overcome and succeed. It’s an amazing credit to Barcelona
that they ushered in a new era based on their success. For one team to have
such an influence on the evolution of the game, both at a grassroots/youth level,
and in the senior game, is truly incredible. And they did take the game forward
in those years; the game became more intelligent, more tactical, almost more
strict. For both the attacking phase and the defensive phase.
So here we are now.
We’ve seen 2016 be the year of the ‘underdog’, the defensive approach,
transition football. Teams admitting their shortcomings and instead becoming
stronger teams, built on organisation, hard work and defending. Yet the Premier
League is pointing towards a new trend, moving away from defensive minded
approaches and embracing a more attacking intent.
A move towards fluidity
Let's look at the current top three. All who are embracing fluidity.
You don’t expect anything else from Guardiola. His
players have embraced the philosophy he desires and played some fantastic
football within that. The way they started the season was very impressive. Perhaps a sense of profligacy has denied them more
points in recent games, yet the football is fantastic. It’s intelligent, it’s quick and it’s
purposeful.
In the 4-1-4-1/4-3-3 type system there is a sense of strict
positional play being at hand, this is what Guardiola has embraced in his time
as a coach. So it is not necessarily ‘free’, but the movement and interchange
of players can at times be poetry in motion. It’s strict tactical attacking
football, which within this framework allows for freedom of movement,
positional interchange and creativity. When City have played the 3-4-2-1 and
effectively had five forwards on the pitch, the fluidity is even greater within
this system. And it’s spectacular when it flows. Guardiola’s ideas are still a
work in progress, but the signs of there that this will only get better and
more efficient.
Of the teams who underperformed last season all have changed
manager, except for Arsenal. Coming 2nd should not be seen as a
failure when this is the best finish in the league for several years. However
it surely felt as though they blew one of their best chances to win the league
last season. And fingers were pointed and questions being asked of Wenger once
again. Could Arsenal win the league again with him as coach? This blog has lost patience with his approach, tactics and worrying mentality within the team,
which can all be apportioned blame at Wenger. However I have to admit that this
season I’m seeing something different with Arsenal’s play. And it’s pleasing.
Arsenal
are playing with more attacking intent, they are playing faster, the passing
and movement is quicker and it’s happening more often within the game. The almost meaningless
possession game isn’t as common as it has been in recent years. And a big part of it is the decision to use
Alexis as a forward. By taking out a more rigid target man centre forward in
Giroud, Arsenal’s play has moved to a whole new level. Alexis’s intelligence in
terms of his movement to come short, behind or wide of the defence offers
passing options but it also offers space for other players to exploit. We’ve seen more breaking
line runs from Ozil (look at the goal he scored versus Watford where a late runinto a centre forward position brought a headed finish). Walcott’s improved
scoring has come the space being created by others and him exploiting that
space more effectively. It’s much more fluid than it has been in recent
seasons, where it’s felt very rigid in terms of it being a 4-2-3-1 or 4-1-4-1. We are seeing Arsenal at their best because there are players in the
attacking positions who can rotate and understand what this means.
Back in 2012
this was my argument regarding the German national team. Whereas some were
highlighting the lack of a definitive centre forward in the side, and stating
the need for Mario Gomez to be the no.9 in the side, I was of the opinion thatGomez actually hampered Germany’s tactical progression. With Gomez it was like Arsenal's problem wth Giroud. Yes both are good goalscorer and good target men, but if you’re ambition was
to embrace a more fluid approach in the attack, then Gomez wasn’t the man to
make that happen. Klose was a much better option as he was happy to
move wide and allow others to drive inside, yet who would follow him after he retired. There was a sense Germany were in crisis without a 'proper' centre forward.
The problem was that if you tried to play with
fluidity ‘around’ Gomez then you simply don’t exploit the spaces you want to by
having to ‘work around’ a rigid forward. A forward’s ablity to move causes
nightmares for defenders who don’t know whether to stay with and move out of
position, or let him go and provide him with space. And the better the movement
between players, the more difficult to defend.
This is the problem we are seeing with Man Utd right now and
a reason why they are in 8th, playing catch up. They are too rigid
in their play and restricted by Zlatan’s positioning and lack of movement.
There’s no doubt that they are being hampered by Zlatan both in terms of his
finishing and profligacy in front of goal and his movement. This is a big reason why they
haven’t scored a goal in the Premier League for three games. When they didn’t
play Zlatan, in the game versus Fernebahce in the Europa League, they scored
four goals. The team attacked better in terms of movement, speed and rotation.
While Rooney has been the scapegoat for the underperformance of the side this
season, perhaps it may actually be Zlatan who is holding this team back? Yes a
fantastic forward on his day, one who can do great things, yet when he’s not
scoring, is he helping or hindering the team?
Mourinho has always sought a
strong target man in his side, and it’s helped him win many trophies. Yet
either Zlatan isn’t the right man for him anymore (remember Inter Milan were
significantly better after replacing Zlatan with Diego Militio – using a
‘worker’ type forward rather than a more talented, yet selfish individual. Andperhaps there’s a reason Zlatan has never won the Champions League?) or he
needs to evolve his tactics.
Leicester won the league not because of a target man but
because of Vardy’s speed to run behind – Martial and Rashford both offer that
threat. Atletico for all their defensive focus use Greizmann as their attacking
focal point, not a big target man. Even the defensive minded sides are moving
away from big target men, and embracing a more dynamic, quick forward to lead
the line. And it’s working.
And finally let’s look at Liverpool. The best attacking side
in the Premier League up to now? I'd say so. But they’ve got the same problem as Man Utd
and Arsenal with their respective strikers. Daniel Sturridge is an excellent
finisher, one of the best in Europe. Yet it’s clear that Liverpool are better
without him in the team. This was evident in the game versus Man Utd last week.
For 60 minutes Liverpool looked flat, lacking dynamism, lacking movement and
not creating anything because of it. And then Sturridge was replaced at 60
minutes and Liverpool transformed. Like a light switch had been flicked on
Liverpool were now playing with energy, dynamism and fluidity. And it was
within these moments where they looked at their best and where they tested De
Gea.
There’s a chemistry which has been developed with the foursome of Coutinho, Lallana, Mane
and Firmino which provides speed, skill, intelligence and fluidity in their
play. Klopp said as much when he appeared on Monday Night Football a few weeks
ago. The positions of the team are set, in terms of where the players should
be, but he was clear to say that different players could take up those
positions within the game. It’s simple, positional interchange within a defined tactical
framework. Like Guardiola is implementing at City and what he did at Barca and
Bayern. It’s like my book Universality discusses, about where the game is heading; a move towards fluidity and
positional rotation and a move away from specialists and strict positions.
The
more you have players who are adept at playing in different positions, who have
intelligence and understanding to rotate, the better the flow and quality of
the attacking phase will be. And Liverpool have scored some truly wonderful
team goals in recent weeks based on this fluidity.
Why defending is essential - however you do it
The fact that the top three right now contains three sides who are
playing the best fluid attacking football may be a coincidence. Chelsea lie
just one place behind them and haven’t conceded a goal in the past four games,
scoring 11 goals in that time. They are the most in form side in the league.
And this is because Conte has moved to a 3-4-2-1 formation. That is an article
for another time in terms of this tactic and how he uses it. Although they've scored this many goals for me this is a
defensive tactic, a reaction after the Arsenal defeat to how poor Chelsea were out
of possession and in transition. They appear to have fixed this problem with this formation. And
had Conte sorted this out earlier, we may be looking at Chelsea leading the
league, and marvelling at the defensive approach he has taken and continuing
the narrative that defending is king in the modern game. And it is.
Arsenal are
seeking to improve on their overall defensive strategies, which has come a long
way from the at times passive and naïve approach between 2007-2013. There is
clearly an improvement in recent years which coincides with their cup successes and
improved finishes in the league. Yet it is Guardiola and Klopp who both obsess and demand pressing in transition. Barca, Bayern and Dortmund all were fantastic pressing
sides and City and Liverpool are no different.
Having a lot of attacking
players around the ball allows for quicker transitions if the ball is lost,
focusing on denying the opponent a chance to counter attack. So while the
fluidity of the attacking play allows for great attacking interplay, it also is
there to provide numbers in the defensive transition phase. So when we talk
about defending and we seemingly compare an attacking side with a defensive
side, this is just wrong.
The best sides in the past decade have been excellent
defensive sides. Whether that’s Chelsea, Man Utd, Barcelona, Inter Milan,
Atletico, Real Madrid or Bayern. These teams could defend. They had different
ways of doing it of course but they did not neglect defending. Those who sought
to play like Barca and yet only considered what they did with the ball suffered
because of it. The pressing game is what the best attacking coaches defend
with.
Pochettino the best at it in recent years for both Southampton and Spurs,
and this article has not sought to ignore the work Spurs have done in recent
seasons. Truth is Spurs play some excellent fluid football when at their best
with the movement of Kane and Alli particularly excellent.
Hard work is key
Success comes from working extremely hard, being focused and
being together as a team. These ideas can be put into any system and strategy.
And the best coaches get their players to buy-in to their ideas and methods.
The modern game requires a lot from players, it is faster and more demanding
physically and mentally. Which makes the game of today truly wonderful to
watch.
Perhaps 10 games is not enough to truly determine where
teams are at. New coaches are still finding out about their players and what
the best fit and system is. Perhaps it’s too early to make a true judgement on
where this season is truly going, both in terms of where teams will finish and
what ‘style’ is best suited for success. It may well be that come May 2017 we have
seen the continuation of the defensive era. But right now we appear to be
entering a new phase, one which embraces fluidity and attacking football and
high pressing.
Who knows, when the ‘business end’ arrives perhaps these coaches may
opt to become more defensive, but right now we see a group of coaches who are
seeking to play attacking football, but this isn’t about trying ‘to be
Barcelona’ anymore, hell even Barcelona don’t play like Barcelona anymore!
Enrique has evolved the style to be more direct than patient in possession.
The
modern game is not so much about possession anymore, or at least possession for
possession sakes, but about quick attacking play. So far we are seeing that
this is not only a way to win games, but a way to entertain as well. The most
entertaining sides don’t always win the trophies, but at least we can enjoy
them along the journey. And so far this Premier League season has been
particularly enjoyable, not so much like those two boxers in the right having a slugfest, but we are seeing intelligent entertainment. Long may it continue!
The Whitehouse Address @The_W_Address
Actually in Euro 2016 Germany were most threatening with Gomez look at the difference between how they played against Poland where they drew 0-0 and Slovakia where they won 3-0 . The other side of your argument is the playing without an out and out striker is a risk as the attack has no focal point
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