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Friday 6 February 2015

How Rodgers is Teaching Martinez a Lesson in Adaptation

Rodgers has shown a willingness to adapt to succeed, while Martinez continues with a style which isn't working
Modern management. One second untouchable, astute tacticians who can do no wrong. The next, clueless, tactically naïve and out of their depth. The life of a manager in the biggest league in the world. Rodgers and Martinez have been regarded as the future of management; young, ambitious and seeking to play a form of the game seen as progressive and 'modern, both value the “Barcelona- style” of football. As the two look to come together this weekend, is there a case to say Martinez looks rigid while Rodgers looks to be the progressive.


For Brendan Rodgers and Roberto Martinez their careers seem intertwined and so too their reputations. Both men profited hugely from their time in Swansea, earning reputations for their expansive possession based style. It helped the club reach the Premier League and took these two managers to higher places. 

Both would be interviewed for the job at Liverpool. Martinez, seemingly the first choice rejected the offer and opted to stay at Wigan. An FA Cup followed, yet too did a relegation. Still it was enough for Bill Kenwright to think this was the coach who could take Everton forward, both in terms of style and league position (Martinez apparently securing the job by telling Kenwright he would take Everton to the Champions League). 

Rodgers would profit from Martinez’s refusal to accept the Liverpool job and would step in to the role with huge expectation and pressure. This was Liverpool. And while they had not been challenging the league for a few years, there was expectation to do so. Rodgers struggled somewhat in that first season at Anfield. The play was too slow, possession too high and the result was often a draw. However the acquisitions of Daniel Sturridge and Phillipe Coutinho in January 2013 would prove to be master-strokes from Rodgers and Liverpool’s style and results would see a big upturn. A 7th place finish was underwhelming yet there were signs of progress being made. 

That following season those signs became a reality with Liverpool becoming genuine title contenders. What had changed? Well it appeared that Rodgers had learnt and adapted from the slower style of play the year before and sought to embrace a higher tempo, more vertical style game. Quick transitions and ruthless finishing became the norm for Liverpool and in many games the contest was seemingly over after 20 minutes. Liverpool were more dynamic, quicker and effective in their play. 

Contrast this to Everton who were now under the leadership of Roberto Martinez. This was a whole new culture of football for a club who had experienced a decade under David Moyes, where the style was less risk, more cautious and more direct. At first the Everton fans weren’t sure yet then results started clicking and the fans and media began fawning over Roberto Martinez. Everton now looked fresh, modern and dynamic. This was seemingly the style of football which would take Everton to new levels. It seemed his promise would come true. 

And yet, as we arrive in the present the success of last season for both managers has almost been forgotten. Both have experienced a difficult season so far. However, while Brendan Rodgers appears to have found a new way of playing, Roberto Martinez appears stuck in his ideas and beliefs. 

Learning, adaptation, evolving 
It was inevitable that Liverpool would struggle this season. To lose a forward in Suarez, arguably in the top three of forwards in world football last season, was never going to be easy to replace. £80m was at least a softener for the loss yet the use of that money did leave some scratching their heads. They didn’t do enough to convince Alexis to join them (Wenger travelled all the way to Rio to convince him) and didn’t use the Suarez deal effectively to put Alexis or even Pedro as part of it. Other options didn’t materialise and so in came Mario Balotelli and Ricky Lambert. How very underwhelming. It was okay though because they still had Sturridge and Sterling, and then came Sturridge’s four month lay-off. A crisis ensued. Liverpool were never going to be able to compete without Suarez and Sturridge in the side. 

Credit must be given to Brendan Rodgers, who went through a difficult time during Sturridge’s injury and experimented to find a solution. Balotelli didn’t work and that gamble has proven a failure. Lambert hasn’t looked the level required. Instead it has been Raheem Sterling who has stepped up to play as centre forward, and has done very well in the role. He has added more to his game and is looking like the kind of playmaking forward Mario Gotze did at Dortmund (that is very big compliment). Sterling looks capable of leading the line, of stretching the play and also to drop deep and run with the ball. Sterling's overall play has excelled in Sturridge’s absence, however Liverpool haven’t always been ruthless with their finishing. A goalscorer has been missed. 

But it is what Rodgers has done with his tactics is what has impressed me most. Now I have no confirmation of this, but I believe that Rodgers has read Pep Confidential, the new book documenting Guardiola’s first season at Bayern. It is no criticism to Rodgers, I would expect him to get an insight into one of the best coaches in world football, to see how he sought not only to win but to enhance Bayern’s style of play. Rodgers loved Barcelona, and it only makes sense to gauge what Guardiola was seeking to do several years on. What you take from the book is Guardiola’s desire to get the best out of Phillip Lahm in the centre of midfield, to use wing backs more effectively and to embrace a back three. His formation? A 3-4-2-1. What has Rodgers used in recent weeks, this exact formation. And it has worked. 

Liverpool outplayed Arsenal for fun using this system yet a lack of clinical finishing meant they had to scrape a 2-2 draw. The signs however showed how good this system worked. Sterling played at the top, with Lallana and Coutinho behind in the two attacking midfielder roles. Against Chelsea in the league cup Gerrard played in this higher role and the use of these two players pulled and dragged Chelsea’s midfield, notably Matic all over the place, creating huge gaps for others to fill. Look at Sterling’s goal in the first leg and Coutinho’s chance in the second leg. It caused havoc for Chelsea’s ‘balance’. 

The key for me has been the re-introduction of Lucas Leiva and the move to a double pivot in midfield. The four in midfield looks a box with two DM's and two AM's. When Gerrard has played as a single pivot Liverpool look open defensively as he can’t cover enough ground and lacks the positional discipline to really excel in this role. In a double pivot either Henderson or Gerrard look more secure with Lucas next to them. And Liverpool appear defensively more secure with him there. Add in the removal of Lovren from the back three and the decision to use Emre Can deeper has helped Liverpool’s ability to build out and break lines while actually making them look more secure defensively. 

Rodgers has impressed with a tactical innovation, moving to a back three (achieved much better what van Gaal has done at United) and showed good decision making with the removal and addition of certain players. With the return of Daniel Sturridge Liverpool now have the forward they have required to turn the creation of quality chances into goals. Sturridge is ruthless, his movement is excellent and importantly he has creators in Coutinho (whose vision is just wonderful), Sterling and to an extent Lallana. When Rodgers came to Liverpool the style was slow, too horizontal, possession lacked purpose and chances were limited. He has adapted this style to be much quicker moving the ball while being more direct (short and sharp combinations over longer direct balls) in their vertical movements. It was this style change which alterted Liverpool’s results and form last season. Now lets compare this to Everton.

A rigid style built on ideas rather than practicality 
Romelu Lukaku has said “The players were asking about going more direct. We all said to the manager, ‘Can we play a bit more direct sometimes?’ We have a style of play where we keep the ball a lot.” He believes that the team needs to “play to my strengths more…For me that makes it easier, because when I am one v one, running on a defender, that gives me a better chance.”
Martinez’s response “You win games by being very good at what you do. Changing only brings doubts.”

This is the problem at Everton. Martinez has a style in his head which he seems incapable of adapting or changing. He believes in possession to dominate games. Yet Everton and his system has been found out somewhat. Last season there appeared to be more incision and quality in the attacking play yet it does appear that teams (with the quality of analysis all Premier League sides have at their disposal) have simply figured out Martinez’s tactics. 

The irony is Martinez is a "no-risk coach", in contrast to what Moyes was accused guilty of being, however the contrast is that while Moyes was no-risk in his defensive half, and a little more free in the attacking half to create chances, Martinez is the opposite. He wants players to be confident with the ball in defence yet make great decisions in the final third. The problem, the most goals conceded from individual errors in the league and a lack of chances being created in attack. 

The problem is that as other teams have worked out Everton’s style those decisions become harder because players cannot give up possession ‘easily’. It has meant Everton have a top 5 percentage of successful passes in their own half yet are 11th and 10th respectively when it comes to shots taken and chances created (compare this to Moyes who was 4th in these stats in 2012/13. 

It is fascinating because while Martinez is keen to stick to his philosophy, it is clear that the team is suffering for his stubbornness. Rodgers was accused of this stubbornness a few years ago, yet his adaptation to playing more direct almost brought him the title and certainly brought out the best in players like Suarez and Sturridge. Arsene Wenger has evidently learned that too much possession does not always mean success and his Arsenal side appear more inclined to allow the opposition to have possession and are looking to play quicker and more direct when they win the ball. It is no surprise they look a better side and have got some great results recently. So is possession important?

As I said in my book Universality

“Recently we have started to see that sides are willing to allow the opposition to have possession of the ball. This means we are starting to see games where possession statistics mean little. The context of the game cannot be explained in ‘who had more of the ball’ because both sides are not seeking to have possession. What has become more important, especially in the higher echelons of the game, is creating and converting chances. Ultimately possession doesn’t count for much unless you finish your chances. Of course if you have more possession this, statistically, increases your chances of scoring as you have more opportunities; however, we are really talking about the quality of chances created here.”

So the importance is creating and converting chances. Everton’s problem is that they don’t create enough and the ones they do create aren’t always great chances. The problem seems that Martinez has spent £28m on a forward who is not using correctly. The best coaches either bring in players to suit their style or adapt to suit the needs of their players. Lukaku, while perhaps being guilty of not working hard enough to create space, is not being utilised well enough. It is like Diego Costa in that Spain side. He wants quick balls feeding through to him with space to run into, he doesn’t want to be waiting for 20 passes while the opposition get set up in a block.

Now of course Everton’s problem is also there inability to keep clean sheets. They have conceded 34 goals this season, they only conceded 39 in the whole of last season! Compare that to the best defence in the league Southampton, who have conceded 17 goals, and you see the problem. Failure to scores added to a tendency to concede leads to a lack of points. 

The problems here are clear; Europa League football, a competition Martinez is keen to succeed in, does show to take it out on a team. And in fairness to Everton  they have done well in this competition so far. As well as this an ageing defence comprising of players like Distin, Howard (Howard’s injury hasn’t helped also, with Joel Robles stepping in ) and Jagielka in their mid-30’s allied with Gareth Barry ahead of them have certainly shown their age this season. Like something from Cocoon their youthful exuberance and energy last season seems to have worn off and they are now showing their age. Added to this is the loss of their influential and energetic midfielder James McCarthy who has experienced an injury hit season. This has really affected the balance and energy in Everton’s midfield. And while Besic has energy, he is more of a holder than McCarthy. Thus Everton have lacked a midfielder to break from deep. More has been expected of Barkley also yet one of his only good games came against the lacklustre QPR at home. It just seems it’s not clicking for Everton and Martinez on both sides of the ball.

Also, I believe Martinez hasn't sought to adapt his tactics to suit the needs of his players, notably Coleman and Baines. He utilises them as wing backs yet continues to play with a back four, meaning they have to track back often. Last season Barry would drop in to make a three yet it seems Everton have become too vulnerable and are lacking balance when the wing backs push high. It has also meant the attacking forwards are told to come inside, which closes gaps centrally. It has led to congestion up top and a defence which is too open. A move to a back three would make sense yet perhaps with Lennon coming in Martinez will ask Coleman to stay deeper and allow Lennon to provide the width. Either way it is clear Martinez needs to change his formation. 

Good coaching means always learning and adapting
In his time at Liverpool Rodgers has shown a willingness and need to learn and adapt. Yet it does seem Martinez seems unwilling to. This is a concern. He didn’t change while at Wigan and while this can be said to be a reason why Wigan avoided relegation for so long it must concern Everton fans that Wigan were always fighting relegation (look at Stoke and West Ham under Pulis and Allardyce to see that every season doesn't need to be a relegation threatened season). 

The Premier League includes different teams with different strengths and weaknesses, a good coach prepares his side to exploit those weaknesses. Just look at Mourinho’s tactics, which vary each game based on the opponent. Perhaps Martinez should have read Pep Confidential also, because while Pep is lauded for his style of play, he prepares and alters the tactics and style every game in order to defeat the opposition. He argues against possession for possession sake and states how his only intention is to win, seeking to find the best solution for this to occur every game. 

Rodgers is clearly learning the importance of adaptation, whereas Martinez will suffer if he continues to stay rigid to a system and style which just isn’t working. As Albert Einstein once said “In an inherently changing world, any species unable to adapt is also doomed.” Take note Roberto.


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